*The eagerly anticipated follow up to the groundbreaking first version of Projecting X!*
In Projecting X 2.0: How to Forecast Baseball Player Performance, FanGraphs expert Mike Podhorzer takes you on a journey through the process of projecting baseball player performance. As he walks you through an assortment of both basic and advanced metrics, citing various pieces of relevant research along the way, you will learn the whats, whys, and hows of each statistic.
Once you become an expert on analyzing the statistics and metrics used in forecasting, you will discover how to use those newly acquired skills. A complete step-by-step tutorial on developing a Microsoft Excel spreadsheet to perform the calculations is included, as well as examples of the forecasting process in action as Mike guides you through a hitter and pitcher projection.
***New in Version 2.0***
• New research and more effective methods for projecting BABIP, RBI and runs scored, stolen bases, and pitcher strikeout and walk percentages
• Pitcher Quality Start projections!
• Even more screenshots of relevant data in tabular and graphical form
• Discussions about the usefulness of Spring Training stats and how new technology continues to help move the statistical revolution forward
• Excel tips and frequently asked questions to ensure your spreadsheet is immaculate
Table of Contents:
Introduction
Projection Systems
Projection Methodology
Spring Training
New Technology and Statcast
Chapter 1: Projecting Hitter Performance
Plate Appearances (PA)
Doubles and Triples (2B and 3B)
Strikeout Percentage (K%)
Ground Ball, Line Drive, Fly Ball Rates (GB%/LD%/FB%)
Batting Average on Balls in Play (BABIP)
Home Run per Fly Ball Rate (HR/FB)
Runs Batted In and Runs Scored (RBI and R)
Stolen Bases (SB)
Chapter 2: Projecting Pitcher Performance
Innings Pitched (IP)
Strikeout Percentage (K%)
Walk Percentage (BB%)
Ground Ball, Line Drive, Fly Ball Rates (GB%/LD%/FB%)
Batting Average on Balls in Play (BABIP)
Home Run per Fly Ball Rate (HR/FB)
Saves (SV)
Chapter 3: Creating an Excel Spreadsheet to Project Hitter Performance
Chapter 4: Developing a Hitter Projection
Chapter 5: Creating an Excel Spreadsheet to Project Pitcher Performance
Chapter 6: Developing a Pitcher Projection
Chapter 7: Putting a Bow on It
Chapter 8: Frequently Asked Questions
About the Author
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